Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 2.410055 2.790147 3.219359 3.741648 4.362318 5.079113 5.973631
2025-02-16 1.845869 2.341325 2.962241 3.805124 4.931118 6.399878 8.487747
2025-02-23 1.555620 2.094956 2.819204 3.878056 5.412159 7.594048 11.005068
2025-03-02 1.326889 1.871791 2.644073 3.841628 5.694153 8.522970 13.312745
2025-03-09 1.182827 1.736671 2.559262 3.902649 6.105826 9.693792 16.233239
2025-03-16 1.047731 1.591227 2.431243 3.865607 6.340814 10.607535 18.915624
2025-03-23 0.942438 1.475321 2.328995 3.846981 6.592001 11.580922 21.921824
2025-03-30 0.844993 1.358410 2.207321 3.772301 6.723912 12.352688 24.712251
2025-04-06 0.785418 1.296159 2.167508 3.832801 7.109724 13.672970 28.969289
2025-04-13 0.711437 1.200272 2.056630 3.744350 7.188838 14.388058 32.070568
2025-04-20 0.679176 1.173708 2.065488 3.883524 7.747486 16.219023 38.305955
2025-04-27 0.630519 1.111931 2.001598 3.868471 7.977082 17.367266 43.170219
2025-05-04 0.591990 1.071707 1.986919 3.981387 8.577773 19.682137 52.446764
2025-05-11 0.548967 1.019472 1.945465 4.040047 9.093784 22.005594 62.988435
2025-05-18 0.513416 0.976782 1.916165 4.118542 9.674489 24.672047 75.880582
2025-05-25 0.471863 0.916630 1.841741 4.079523 9.950691 26.595051 87.310159
2025-06-01 0.443637 0.880462 1.813445 4.144858 10.518843 29.553266 104.117574
2025-06-08 0.410682 0.830303 1.747394 4.105196 10.789794 31.699367 119.074155
2025-06-15 0.382687 0.787685 1.692781 4.085254 11.115011 34.141911 136.846003
2025-06-22 0.353783 0.739873 1.620045 4.005306 11.244042 35.974752 153.142806
2025-06-29 0.336427 0.716249 1.601738 4.070073 11.842388 39.716404 181.447624
2025-07-06 0.311730 0.673092 1.530623 3.975387 11.904888 41.483830 200.890601
2025-07-13 0.302036 0.664129 1.543341 4.124380 12.827509 47.029690 246.360700